| New Zogby Not Good for Kerry |
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June 8, 2004 |
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My friends, the new Zogby poll is out and it bucks a trend. Kerry has been silent, hasn't been doing much, and that's usually when his numbers skyrocket. Not so in this latest poll. His lead over Bush has dropped by three points. It's now 44-42, which is a statistical tie when you factor in the plus or minus margin of error.
 Everybody is going ape over Zogby these days because he was the one that called the closeness of the 2000 race. In the latest poll, “11 percent of voters said they were undecided -- up from the 8 percent who said they were undecided in the last survey period.” If you add Ralph Nader into the mix, doesn't change Kerry's or Bush's percentage. “Those polled remained evenly divided on the war in Iraq.”
Now, you tell me if this is evenly divided: “56 percent saying the war was ‘worth it,’ and 43.2 percent saying it was not.” How is that evenly divided? It isn't evenly divided. I don't care what kind of math you use. Then get this: “The number of people expressing support for the war was up nine percentage points from last month's poll.” The real clincher is the ending with, “’The real movement is among undecideds who numbered only 5 percent in March and now number 11 percent,’ Zogby said, adding that ‘some Democrats’ appear to have abandoned Kerry in the past month, just as some Republicans and conservatives abandoned President Bush earlier this year.”
Wishful thinking on the last part. So there you have it. The latest, 44-42, Kerry in the Zogby poll. |
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