{"id":15094,"date":"2012-07-19T16:09:27","date_gmt":"2012-07-19T16:09:27","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2012-07-19T16:09:27","modified_gmt":"2012-07-19T16:09:27","slug":"romney_vaults_into_lead_and_that_s_before_the_real_obama_emerged_in_roanoke","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2012\/07\/19\/romney_vaults_into_lead_and_that_s_before_the_real_obama_emerged_in_roanoke\/","title":{"rendered":"Romney Vaults into Lead — and That\u2019s Before the Real Obama Emerged in Roanoke"},"content":{"rendered":"

RUSH: Tax returns<\/a>, is Romney a felon<\/a>, and, you know, the interesting thing is that out there, where you live, nobody cares. Nobody cares about Romney and Bain Capital<\/a>, at least in terms of whether or not he was a felon. Nobody cares about the villain in the movie Batman <\/a>being named Bane. Nobody cares about Romney\u2019s tax returns. Nobody cares what Obamacare is about.<\/p>\n

In fact, this country is standing up in outrage over what Obama said. And by the way, you Democrats are trying to tell us that we took him out of context<\/a>. They\u2019re doubling down on this now. Elizabeth Warren is back doubling down on this whole notion that if you got a road in front of your business, that road and the people that built it are the reason you succeeded. You have nothing to do with it. She\u2019s back; they\u2019re doubling down on it.<\/p>\n

The people of this country have finally seen what I\u2019ve been trying to say for four years. I don\u2019t mean to make this about me. I don\u2019t have to try to make things about me. They\u2019re gonna do that anyway. This is why I said, “I hope he fails.”<\/a> This is who he\u2019s always been. This is who Barack Obama is. And all this about how likable Obama is, what a great guy he is, he is snarky, he\u2019s sneering, he\u2019s angry when he made those statements in Roanoke, Virginia, last Friday night. For some reason, the truth emerged. He was irritated, fed up, tired, not supposed to be here in the polls. It wasn\u2019t supposed to be this close. He was supposed to be way ahead, rocking on to a practically uncontested second term.<\/p>\n

Romney was the guy they wanted. They wanted Romney, Occupy Wall Street, run against Wall Street, Bain Capital, they wanted Romney. Now the CBS\/New York Times poll is out, registered voters, not likely voters — this poll is amazing. You dig deep in the internals, Romney is ahead of Obama for the first time in the New York Times\/CBS poll. That\u2019s a detail, by the way, that the CBS article of the poll ignores completely. In fact, according to the New York Times, 45% say they would vote for Romney if the election were now; 43% say they would vote for Obama, which means that Romney\u2019s really up by two. But the pollsters decided to throw in undecided leaners so they could cut Romney\u2019s lead by half down to 1%.<\/p>\n

The guys over at The Politico, Mike Allen says, (paraphrasing) “Well, come on, it doesn\u2019t mean anything. Nobody\u2019s ahead and nobody\u2019s behind. This is all a margin of error.” And so when the Republican launches ahead in the polls, then all of a sudden the polls don\u2019t matter. But you dig deep in some of the internals in this poll, and you find some amazing stuff. You go back and you compare the results of this poll — and they did this at Power Line — compare this poll to the same poll\u2019s results in April to get a trend. Handling of the economy, back in April, Obama at 44%. Today\u2019s poll, 39%. Impact of policies on respondents\u2019 own financial situation, not good for Obama. Well, 64% blame Obama\u2019s policies.<\/p>\n

Folks, it\u2019s all in this poll, and this is registered voters, not likely. If it were likely voters, it would be even worse. Sixty-four percent blame Obama\u2019s policies for where we are. Finally, folks, you\u2019ve been asking, “When are these polls gonna match up? When are all these polls that say we\u2019re going in the wrong direction, my life isn\u2019t getting better, when are they gonna match up with an accompanying decline in Obama\u2019s approval?” Looks like it\u2019s happening in this poll. Favorability rating, Obama 36%. You remember when Bush hit the thirties on CNN? It was all they talked about for three straight hours. We had that montage of Wolf Blitzer, breaking news, everything coming to a screeching halt, the president\u2019s approval numbers, a new low in the CNN poll, in the thirties.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Well, here we go to the CBS\/New York Times poll, Obama, back in April, he was at 42% approval, 45% disapproval. Well, favorable and unfavorable. Thirty-six percent favorable in the New York Times\/CBS poll. A plurality of voters think Obama\u2019s policies will make them worse off and that Romney\u2019s will make them better off. It\u2019s all here in this poll, and there\u2019s a couple of other interesting aspects here. Among independents, Obama\u2019s personal favorability is at 28%, not 36. Now, this is the group that the Republican establishment said, “Don\u2019t criticize Obama, no, no, no. The independents, they want to compromise, shake hands, everybody get together, cross the aisle, work together, compromise,” blah, blah, blah.<\/p>\n

Among the independents, Obama\u2019s personal favorability is 28% with 52% unfavorable. This is among independents. Romney 32% favorable, 31% unfavorable. So I guess this Bain stuff is really working, isn\u2019t it? I guess this tax return stuff\u2019s really working, isn\u2019t it? And I guess this, “You didn\u2019t build that! Somebody else made that happen” is working. I guess this stuff is really working. By the way, this poll, ladies and gentlemen, has weighted the Democrats with a 6.5-point sample advantage.<\/p>\n

What they\u2019ve done… And this is another indication. What they did in the composition of the respondents in the poll, is they basically went out and they duplicated election returns. They had a Democrat sample of about 52% or 53% in the poll. They had a Republican sample, independent sample that pretty much equaled what the election in 2008 was. Well, we all know that those numbers no longer work because a lot of Democrats have abandoned Obama. He\u2019s not gonna get 53%. Even if he wins, he\u2019s not gonna get 53%.<\/p>\n