{"id":33858,"date":"2009-11-03T01:01:01","date_gmt":"2011-05-19T01:45:17","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2011-05-19T01:45:17","modified_gmt":"2011-05-19T01:45:17","slug":"el_rushbo_s_election_predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2009\/11\/03\/el_rushbo_s_election_predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"El Rushbo\u2019s Election Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

RUSH: Let\u2019s talk Election Day today. People have been asking me, ‘Rush, what are your predictions? What are your predictions?\u2019 Well, it\u2019s tough to make predictions here because you don\u2019t know what the ACORN factor is going to be and you don\u2019t know what the vote fraud factor is gonna be, particularly in New Jersey. ABC News radio at the top of the hour here on cue — by the way, CNN is doing the same thing — said that the White House is insisting that these governor races should not be seen as a judgment on the White House. It\u2019s tough being CNN today. They\u2019ve got a poll out that shows Obama at 54% approval. Now, what timing, the day of the election and the day before the results are analyzed. So if Obama is at 54% approval and the Democrats get shellacked today, why, it has nothing to do with Obama. But they bury something very important in their own poll. Obama health care approval: 42 for, 57 against in the CNN poll. <\/p>\n

I\u2019ll tell you something else about these elections. This election today, all of these elections are precisely why Obama and everybody wanted to get this health care done before the August recess, so that they\u2019d be able to go to these elections and claim some big achievement, but they were unable to do that and if these elections go total Republican today, it should be a nail in the coffin of Obamacare. This is what they knew all along. I said on Fox News Sunday, every day I get up and I feel like I\u2019m in the trenches of a war. No bullets being fired, but it\u2019s just every day you get up and there is another assault on liberty and freedom and the founding of this country, every day. It never stops. So people have been asking me for my predictions. <\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: Now the predictions. I\u2019m not going to predict the races. I\u2019m going to predict the media to you, because I\u2019ve already got examples of it in the audio sound bite roster here and a couple of news stories. The media tonight and tomorrow are going to be working hard, my friends, to deliver you not the news but Obama talking points about this election as in ABC Radio News just 15 minutes ago: White House insisting that these governor\u2019s races should not be seen as judgment on the White House. That\u2019s ABC falling right in line, CNN has, too. First, there\u2019s Virginia. Whatever the vote totals in Virginia, the State-Controlled Media will report that the turnout was not as big as expected, that the vote for the Republicans and against the Democrats was not as big as expected, and besides, everybody knew that the Republicans would win. It\u2019s no surprise. The White House even knew it. Why, the White House threw this guy Creigh Deeds under the bus a couple weeks ago. The White House knew he ran a lousy campaign. <\/p>\n

You could just see this coming, mark my words. We knew that the Republicans would win because the Democrat governor was so poor, he was so inept, he dismissed early offers by the Obama team for help, he was a goner from the moment the general election began. So the State-Controlled Media will say Virginia stands for nothing, just ignore it. I predict to you that will be the outcome; that will be the media spin. I know these people, folks, I know them. You know I know them. That will be how they spin Virginia.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: We turn to New York-23. If Hoffman wins — and polls suggest that he will — the race there will be dismissed as an outlier. Here\u2019s how they\u2019re going to categorize this — and I\u2019m talking about the media. I\u2019m predicting the media coverage tonight and tomorrow on New York-23. <\/p>\n

They\u2019ll say that the right wing concentrated all its hate and all its anger and all its resources on a congressional race that is of little national importance or consequence. They will portray this as the Republican Party being fractured and divided with even greater problems down the road. The state-run media will further tell us that the battle in New York-23 was really just a fight among Republicans, not about Obama or his policies; and that the far right, while successful in this district, will have difficulty extending this victory into other districts and states because they will have driven so many independents and moderates out of the party. There are actually… <\/p>\n

I think it\u2019s Gloria Borger in the audio sound bite roster saying that Republicans are driving independents out of their party. It\u2019s just the opposite. Independents are flocking to these Republicans in these races! It\u2019s just the opposite of that they\u2019re gonna cast New York-23 as unimportant, of little consequence, more an illustration of how the Republican part is fracturing. It doesn\u2019t matter what happens to New York-23. This Hoffman guy will be invisible once he gets to Washington. He\u2019s not that big a deal. Nothing to do with Obama, nothing to do with Obama. ‘And the Republicans,\u2019 they will say, ‘will have difficulty extending this victory into other districts and to other states.\u2019 Now (chuckles), here\u2019s the antidote to that. <\/p>\n

The fact that the ‘former\u2019 vice president, according to CNN yesterday, Joe Biden, campaigned in the district yesterday… ‘That was nothing! Don\u2019t make anything of it. That was nothing more than a classy White House display of loyalty for a Democrat candidate who never really had a chance.\u2019 Folks, I want you to print these words out. I want you to get the transcript off my website. I want you to print these out, I want you to distribute them, I want you to carry them with you, and we\u2019ll just see how close I am to being right. So the State-Run Media will say, ‘New York-23, the race is more about the demise of the Republican Party and anger on the right than Obama or his policies,\u2019 and Biden is just a loyal act to help a Democrat that never really had a chance.<\/p>\n

Let\u2019s move on to New Jersey now. Obama has actually been in New Jersey many times. I think in the last 24, 48 hours he\u2019s been there, and he\u2019s making robocalls. In fact, you want to hear one? Obama\u2019s making robocalls for Corzine. I mean, he\u2019s on your TV, he\u2019s on the Internet, he\u2019s in magazines, he\u2019s on the radio. The last thing I would think you would want is for your phone to ring and the voice on the other end to be Obama. ‘Cause, damn it, folks, he\u2019s everywhere. He won\u2019t leave us alone. If you get one of these Corzine robocalls from Obama, this is what you\u2019ll hear.<\/p>\n

OBAMA: I want to apologize for disturbing you, but there\u2019s an important election this coming Tuesday. Last year we started the movement for change. Now we need to keep it going. That\u2019s why I\u2019m asking you to get behind Governor Jon Corzine. Together we can fix our schools, improve health care, and turn around the economy so it works for all Americans. So please get out and vote on Tuesday and vote for my friend and your governor, Jon Corzine. Thanks for listening.<\/p>\n

RUSH: I think it\u2019s pretty desperate for the president to be doing this, robocalls — and that\u2019s just a rehash of his now meaningless campaign rhetoric from a year ago, 18 months ago: ‘Fix the schools, improve health care, turn around the economy so it works for all Americans,\u2019 which means it works for none. (chuckles) ‘All\u2019 and ‘none\u2019 meaning the same thing here. So that\u2019s Obama and his robocall in New Jersey. One of his most trusted confidantes and campaign operatives, Obama\u2019s, took over the Corzine campaign a few months ago. Now, basically in looking at New Jersey you have to understand this: Corzine is a straw man for the Obama White House. That\u2019s how you have to look at it. He is a straw man for the Obama White House. <\/p>\n

And if Corzine loses in New Jersey, which is among the bluest of blue states, the State-Controlled Media repeating the Obama talking points will do all it can to run interference for the White House. The damage control spin will be that the president was heroic in his efforts to save a hopeless candidate. ‘Corzine was surrounded by corruption. He destroyed New Jersey\u2019s economy. He was enormously unpopular. But the president decided to make a courageous stand and to try to save him. And despite Corzine losing, look how close the election became. But for Obama and his team, New Jersey would have been a wipeout, not a nail-biter. So New Jersey is actually an Obama win, even should Corzine lose.\u2019 <\/p>\n

This is how it will be portrayed: ‘Such a heroic effort! The man put everybody but himself first. He put Corzine first. He put his agenda first. He put the state of New Jersey first. But it was just too much to overcome, unpopularity, corruption, questionable friends, a rotten economy that Corzine destroyed as governor of New Jersey, and his Wall Street connections came back to hurt him.\u2019 They\u2019ll come up with everything to say that Obama gave it everything he got. Now, if Corzine wins… We\u2019ll of course look at this in that way as well. If Corzine wins, the State-Controlled Media, following the White House spin, will report that Obama\u2019s personal popularity and the popularity of his socialist agenda won the day. The fact is, Corzine, if he does win, will likely win with less than 50% of the vote. <\/p>\n

And the fact that he could not muster 50% of the vote in this heavily Democrat state will be completely ignored. His win by a plurality of the vote, not a majority, will be said to have been momentous, that it ‘shows that Obama is as strong as ever and that he still owns the blue states and states trending blue — and those who defy him, including in his own party, such as Blue Dog Democrats, do so at their own peril.\u2019 That will be the message if Corzine wins. Now, here\u2019s the truth. A year ago today Obama won in Virginia, the news reported his election there as historic and as a realignment. If the election results come anywhere close to what the polls predict recently, the Republicans are going to have a huge win today, and anything over 6% is a huge win. Now, I know this because when Obama won the presidency by 6% the media told us it was a huge win. So anything over six is big. <\/p>\n

Virginia\u2019s outcome is going to be downplayed as much as possible, but it is very important. Because if Virginia were to go 6% in favor of the Democrats today that would have been a huge boost to Obama and the Democrats nationally. So to say when the opposite occurs, that it doesn\u2019t matter, is just nonsense. Virginia was key to the national realignment only 12 months ago today. Today we are told to ignore it. If Republicans can hold onto states like Virginia, then they can build from there and aggressively go after states that have too often been written off and ceded to the Democrats by a weak and squishy GOP. Now, the New York-23, that\u2019s a major turning point, which is why the establishment Republicans and their media promoters are downplaying it along with the Democrats. A moderate Republican held this seat for a lot of years. He was selected by Obama to serve in his administration because Obama believed he could take that seat and keep it Democratic. The race sized up exactly as the White House had hoped with the Democrat in the lead, and the Republican establishment bosses picking Scozzafava.<\/p>\n

BREAK TRANSCRIPT<\/p>\n

RUSH: Okay. Now, let\u2019s start again here on this so I don\u2019t have to interrupt myself on the importance of New York-23, because this is a turning point, and, in fact, there are stories throughout the State-Controlled Media today — got one here, the LA Times: ‘Conservatives Emboldened by Moves in New York Election.\u2019 There are conservative candidates popping up all over the country who are going to challenge incumbent Republicans in House races. I\u2019ve read about 10 or 12 of them are going to happen now. This New York-23 is big, it is a turning point, and it is precisely why the media and everybody is trying to portray it as nothing more than the Republicans falling apart, having big unity problems and so forth. I\u2019ll tell you what, the moderate Republican, the Rockefeller gang, they\u2019re just as worried about New York-23 as the Democrats are. <\/p>\n

Now, this is a key point. New York-23 was held by a moderate Republican. That seat was held by a moderate Republican for many years. But Obama picked this guy to serve in his administration. You know why? Obama wanted that seat to go Democrat. So the Democrat, Owens, gets nominated and the race sized up exactly as the White House had hoped, the Democrat in the lead, the GOP establishment bosses picked the left-wing moderate Republican, just exactly as the Democrats want. They want Republicans to stay moderate squishy because they know that\u2019s when Republicans lose. So it was going exactly as the White House had hoped. She was gonna lose. But then up stepped this guy, this little accountant, Doug Hoffman, a conservative, and in stepped groups like the Club for Growth, conservative talk radio stepped in there, the tea party activists, citizens from across the country, the blogosphere. Erick Erickson at RedState.com has been all over this since it began. And eventually some Republican politicians were forced to get in on this at the tail end and endorse Hoffman because of this wave of support that had blossomed for him. <\/p>\n

This is where conservative Americans are drawing the line. New York-23. This is where we are fighting, this is where we will take a stand against both the liberal wing of the Republican Party and Obama and the Democrat Party. And that\u2019s what\u2019s happened here. To the great distress of people like Lindsey Grahamnesty and the Rockefeller Republicans, the great distress of Obama, the Democrats in the media, that\u2019s exactly what has happened here. And Hoffman is now said to be in the lead. Now, whether he wins or not, what happened in New York-23 was a huge statement by conservatives and traditional Republicans against the left in both parties. And should Hoffman win, as I think he will, his campaign is gonna give confidence and energy to scores of others across this country where momentum will grow right up to next year\u2019s election. So that\u2019s the truth of New York-23. <\/p>\n

Now to New Jersey. Here\u2019s the truth there. Let\u2019s be honest about this. If a fairly conservative Republican can win the governorship of New Jersey, it is historic, whether the media want to say so or not. By all accounts, Chris Christie is a tax-cutting, spending cutting, law and order kind of Republican. He also said he\u2019s pro-life. Here\u2019s who he\u2019s up against in New Jersey. He\u2019s up against Obama. He\u2019s up against the national Democrat Party. He\u2019s up against the SEIU, the union. He\u2019s up against the NEA. He\u2019s up against the AFL-CIO. He is up against ACORN. He is up against the Daily Kos. He is against the New York Times and a billionaire who has spent $30 million trashing him. And that would be Corzine. Corzine has spent $30 million of his own money trashing Chris Christie. That\u2019s who Christie\u2019s up against, and this race right now is too close to call. With all of that going on, Christie ought to not even be visible. In New Jersey, in this bluest of blue states, with all of that Democrat firepower and money arrayed against him, he ought not even show up in the polls. <\/p>\n

Now, if a fairly conservative Republican can win the governorship against those odds, not to mention the hugely lopsided voter registration disadvantage, it would be a smashing victory, it would be a smashing defeat, it would be a profound defeat for Obama and his ilk. There\u2019s simply no getting around that if he pulls this off. Now, if Christie loses, and if he loses by a small margin, the White House and the State-Run Media are going to play it up loudly as a great achievement. But the fact is they will have barely won, despite all of their great advantages and numbers and resources. And even if they just barely win, I guarantee you that they\u2019re going to be quietly talking among themselves about how they are in deep trouble. Because, folks, if the Obama election 12 months ago was a realignment and the media said that it was, it was so smashing, I mean it changed the face of America, then the Democrats and Obama should not be celebrating a bare victory which required an extraordinary effort to pull off in a state where a Republican shouldn\u2019t even show up in the polls. They will know that they are in trouble if they have to fight so hard to hold a reliably dark blue state. <\/p>\n

So to sum it up, I don\u2019t know how Obama, the Democrats, the State-Controlled Media can make the outcome of today\u2019s election some great achievement for Obama, some great achievement for liberalism and his socialist agenda. They\u2019re going to try, but it will require the worst kind of propaganda and deceit to pull this off. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

RUSH: Let\u2019s talk Election Day today. People have been asking me, ‘Rush, what are your predictions? What are your predictions?\u2019 Well, it\u2019s tough to make predictions here because you don\u2019t know what the ACORN factor is going to be and you don\u2019t know what the vote fraud factor is gonna be, particularly in New Jersey. 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