{"id":4043,"date":"2016-03-02T17:28:13","date_gmt":"2016-03-02T17:28:13","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2017-06-20T10:20:10","modified_gmt":"2017-06-20T14:20:10","slug":"everything_you_need_to_know_about_what_happened_on_super_tuesday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rushlimbaugh.com\/daily\/2016\/03\/02\/everything_you_need_to_know_about_what_happened_on_super_tuesday\/","title":{"rendered":"Everything You Need to Know About What Happened on Super Tuesday"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"Listen<\/a><\/p>\n

RUSH: Wait. I just heard something. I need to double-check. I just heard that Trump is over 300 delegates right now? I don\u2019t have that number. I\u2019ve got Trump at around 285. 285? Okay. So he\u2019s not north of 300 yet. In fact, that\u2019s actually a pretty important number. There were a lot of people expecting him to be north of 300 after last night, and he\u2019s not.<\/p>\n

Anyway, here we are, folks. You have come to the one place you know you can count on to make sense of all this with honest appraisals of everything that you saw happen last night. Right here, the RushLimbaugh.com and the Limbaugh Institute for Advanced Conservative Studies. Telephone number, if you want to join us, 800-282-2882, and the e-mail address, ElRushbo@eibnet.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n

All right. Nate Silver\u2019s site says that Trump has 332 delegates right now, Cruz is at 221. These are nowhere near the numbers that I got earlier this morning. Now I\u2019m confused. Anyway, the point will still hold, because if you take Trump\u2019s delegates, let\u2019s do what I have here first, 285, explain to you why everybody\u2019s gonna stay in this, to the consternation of you can\u2019t believe how many people.<\/p>\n


\nThe numbers that I had going into the program today, 285 for Trump, 160 for Cruz, 87 for Rubio, 25 for Kasich, and 8 for Carson. Now, if you look at it a different way, you\u2019ve got Trump at 285 and the field at 280. And that\u2019s why nobody\u2019s getting out. Tom DeLay was on PMSNBC last night, and a lot of establishment types are out there actually pushing the following theory, that as long as these people stay in — that\u2019s now the objective, for Rubio to stay in, or Cruz to stay in.<\/p>\n

You might have heard otherwise, that there\u2019s a desire for one of these two to get out and everybody to unify and go head-to-head against Trump. And there are some people that want to do that. But the contra theory to that — okay, the other list, the Nate Silver list is Trump 332, Cruz 221 and Rubio 115. That would mean that Rubio and Cruz combined have more delegates than Trump has by four. So either way you see here that the opposition to Trump is still at or near his total.<\/p>\n

Look at this! The New York Times is saying 316 for Trump, 226 for Cruz, and 106 for Rubio. So I\u2019ve got three different delegate counts here. But the point still holds, because the first leg of the theory is that it\u2019s not the states that you win going in, it is the delegates of course and the number is 1,237 that any Republican needs to win this thing, and the more delegates Trump did not win, the greater the likelihood he would arrive in Cleveland short of the 1,237.<\/p>\n

And if that happens, if nobody shows up to the convention with 1,237 and the first vote those delegates are pledged, but then, after the first vote, where nobody gets to — and you can guarantee that when the horse trading begins Trump would be in there doing his famous dealing making. So once the second vote starts, it\u2019s free for all, anybody can vote for anybody. I mean, there might be a few short small number of pledged delegates.<\/p>\n

So the objective here is one of two ways: Either keep everybody in this for as long as the money makes it possible and deny Trump 1,237 delegates, and that theory admits that nobody can beat him. That theory admits that nobody else can get there, either. Then throw this open to a second vote, and once that happens then all bets are off and you could have not a brokered convention, but you have the horse trading that would go on.<\/p>\n

The other scenario that Cruz and Rubio get together and one of them decide that the other can\u2019t make it — and Kasich. The Drive-Bys and the establishment are really mad at Kasich today because they think if Kasich had gotten out by now that Rubio would have won Virginia. That\u2019s how minute this is. Here\u2019s a guy that has not yet — well, he did win a state. He won Minnesota. You know, this is interesting, too. Rubio wins Minnesota, the only state Reagan lost in a landslide 1984 against Walter F. Mondale. Mondale from Minnesota won his own state, Rubio said to be a Reaganite goes to Minnesota, wins where Reagan didn\u2019t and loses everywhere else Reagan won, and it happens to be a caucus state, Minnesota, which is pretty much a left wing leaning state.<\/p>\n

The other objective is for one of these two guys to get out and the party to unify against Trump, and then that brings in something that Lindsey Grahamnesty said. Because you\u2019ve got two options here. You\u2019ve got uniting behind Rubio, which right now is what the establishment would prefer to do and what they\u2019re trying to do, but I don\u2019t care how they try to spin this, this was not a good night for Rubio last night. A lot of people on the Rubio side are obviously are trying to spin this as a night where he did better than was thought. But he didn\u2019t even reach the 20% threshold in a number of states to even get some delegates there. And they\u2019re holding on, “Hey, look at Virginia, look at Virginia, if Kasich hadn\u2019t been there, why, we would have won Virginia.”<\/p>\n

<\/a>They point to the one state they may have won had Kasich not been in, and this is the guy they\u2019re trying to tout as the actual winner, the guy of the rest of the field that is the legitimate choice to take down Trump. And the reason for that is they despise Cruz. They literally hate Cruz. Ted Cruz had a good night last night. Now, if you measure it against expectations, you know, going in, he was going to sweep Super Tuesday. This is before Trump got in and screwed everything up, but he was gonna sweep Super Tuesday and last night was the night Ted Cruz was gonna effectively have nailed down the nomination before Trump got in and changed the dynamics of everything.<\/p>\n

A lot of things became clear to me last night as the candidates spoke. A lot of things came into focus for me last night about what they\u2019re doing right, what they\u2019re doing wrong, and I will share as much of that as time permits as the program unfolds today.<\/p>\n

So the theory is you\u2019ve got one of these two guys pull out and they go head-to-head with Trump and try to win this thing before you get to Cleveland. And Lindsey Grahamnesty actually said on CBS last night, “If Marco doesn\u2019t win Florida on the 15th, I don\u2019t know how Marco does it. I don\u2019t know how Marco goes for it. Ted Cruz is not my favorite by any means, but we may be in a position where we have to rally around Ted Cruz as the only way to stop Donald Trump, and I\u2019m not so sure that would work.”<\/p>\n

For them to say that, they are panicked even more than I thought they were, if they\u2019re actually talking about aligning behind Ted Cruz. They don\u2019t… I thought if the establishment had to make a choice they would choose Trump simply because they think Trump has the constituency that they claim that they would like, or they\u2019ve claimed in recent years they think they need in order to win consistently, a broad-based coalition — and, they think Trump is “malleable.”<\/p>\n

You\u2019ve heard that word go around, that Trump will negotiate and make deals; that he\u2019s not nearly as ideologically locked into things as Cruz is. Therefore, “Cruz is intractable, inflexible. We can\u2019t work with him! Plus, he\u2019s the worst of all worlds, being a legitimate Christian conservative.” For Lindsey Grahamnesty to come out and say they might have to coalesce behind Cruz kind of took me by surprise, \u2019cause I really thought if anything like that happened they would choose Trump. The other thing, folks, is last night Trump did something that he hasn\u2019t done before.<\/p>\n