RUSH: Brit Hume last night on Special Report with Bret Baier discussed the polls.
HUME: We are looking at a set of state polls in the battleground states that suggest that President Obama is leading, he’s leading in most of these polls, and most reporters would look at that and say, “Well, if that’s the case, it looks like President Obama’s gonna win,” and that’s what a lot of people think. That’s kind of the conventional wisdom. However, in a number of those polls there is a remarkably large number of Democrats in the sample. More Democrats in some cases than turned out by a percentage on Election Day four years ago, which was a very big year for the Democrats. They don’t expect to have as big a year, so those polls are troubling. Now, it would be unprecedented for this many polls reflecting the similar outcome to be wrong, which is why I think people are reluctant to draw that conclusion. But there’s something wrong here.
RUSH: Well, welcome to the club. He’s now seeing that the large Democrat sample in a lot of these polls is larger than the Democrat turnout in 2008. And nobody, even the pollsters, nobody thinks that the Democrats are gonna turn — it was plus seven in 2008. The Republicans were all depressed, they weren’t excited about McCain, it was fait accompli. I mean, we went into Election Day four years ago knowing it was over. And a lot of voters did, too. It’s entirely different this time around. But, again, I just want to call everybody’s attention to the fact that whatever the Democrat sample is, the assumption in all of these polls is that every Democrat’s voting Obama. And even without this CNN poll, I know that that’s not true. I know that Obama, it stands to reason is gonna get fewer Democrat votes this year than he got in 2008.
You disagree with that, Snerdley? I want to take you back, grab sound bite number two. I want to take you back to October 30th of 2008. This is one of my all-time favorite audio sound bites from our Grooveyard of Forgotten Sound Bites. This is Charlie Rose and Tom Brokaw, and this is just three or four days before the election. And to put this in perspective, we’ve had a year to a year and a half of a campaign where the media has been ostensibly telling us everything there is about Obama. Of course we know that they didn’t vet him. But despite whether they did or didn’t, they have all been urging everybody to vote for Obama. They were in the tank big time. You know it, I know it, you all remember it. And yet just three or four days before the election, this conversation took place.
ROSE: I don’t know what Barack Obama’s worldview is.
BROKAW: No, I don’t either.
ROSE: I don’t know how he really sees where China is.
BROKAW: We don’t know a lot about Barack Obama and the universe of his thinking about foreign policy.
ROSE: I don’t really know. And do we know anything about the people who are advising him?
BROKAW: You know, it’s an interesting question.
ROSE: He’s principally known through his autobiography and through very aspirational [sic] speeches.
BROKAW: Two of them. Now, I don’t know what books he’s read.
ROSE: What do we know about the heroes of Barack Obama?
BROKAW: There’s a lot about him we don’t know.
RUSH: It didn’t matter. Didn’t matter. We were all supposed to vote for the guy. These guys are in the business of finding out who everybody is. These guys are in the business of speaking truth to power, right? These guys are in the business of exposing fraud, deceit, whatever it is in people of power. That’s what they claim their job is. Here it is right before their eyes, (imitating Rose and Brokaw) “I don’t know. I have no idea who he is. I can’t wait to vote for him, but I don’t know who he is. I think you ought to vote for him.”
So let’s go back. Charlie Rose last night. Here are the guests: Al Hunt; Matthew Dowd; John Harris, The Politico; Cokie Roberts; Mark Halperin, TIME Magazine; and John Heilemann of New York Magazine. We have a montage of their discussion about the presidential race.
ROSE: Albert Hunt. (dramatic pause) Where are we?
HUNT: Charlie, I think that the, uh — the fat lady is starting to sing. It looks like things are — are moving in a very, very slow but steady direction in Barack Obama’s favor.
ROSE: Breaking in the president’s favor?
HUNT: Yeah, this is not a dead-even race. It’s ultimately gonna be a convincing victory by President Obama. It will be close, but it will be convincing.
ROSE: John Harris?
HARRIS: I agree with that.
ROSE: Cokie Roberts?
ROBERTS: I agree that it’s breaking in the president’s favor.
ROSE: Mark Halperin, do you concur?
HALPERIN: I think the winner of Ohio will win, and I think there’s more reasons to think the president will win Ohio.
ROSE: Let me get John in. Do you agree with everything people have said?
HEILEMANN: I do, Charlie! I agree with everything that everybody said.
RUSH: Well, that’s a great guest list, isn’t it? Six people, and they all think identically the same thing! What a great guest roster, Charlie. Not one person on Charlie’s show that doesn’t think Obama wins. Let’s remember this: Not one person on Charlie’s show last night who disagreed. Gloria Borger last night, CNN, The Situation Room, discussing the presidential race…
BORGER: I think that voters don’t really know who either of these guys are (snickering) in the end. What would a second Obama term look like? And what would a first Romney term look like, given the turning around we’ve seen of Mitt Romney on the campaign? I don’t think we know who either of them are.
RUSH: What an indictment of yourself. So this is another journalist: “We don’t know who these guys are.” Such diversity. I’ll bet these guys don’t even know anybody who voted for Romney. I’ll bet none of these people know anybody. Add Gloria Borger to the Tom Brokaw-Charlie Rose list. They don’t know who these guys are. It’s your job! (laughing) It’s no more complicated than that. It’s your job to find out who these people are.
But notice, “given the turning around we’ve seen of Mitt Romney on the campaign,” meaning: Romney’s flip-flopped, he’s lied, he’s distorted who he really is. What an indictment of themselves this is. Gloria Borger, you work at CNN! You’ve got a national cable network to tell everybody what you found out about these guys. You don’t know what a second term of Obama’s gonna look like?
What’s America look like now?
Now make it worse!
I can tell you what a second term of Obama’s gonna look like, and I can damn well tell you what Romney’s gonna try to stop, and that’s what’s happening now. Gloria, do you realize that average Americans know more than you claim to know? Everybody voting against Barack Obama today knows damn well what the future holds, and that’s why they’re voting against him, Gloria! And everybody voting for Romney also knows what the next four years hold if Obama wins.
Not only are they voting against that, they’re voting for very specific things Romney has said he wants to accomplish. It isn’t hard. It really isn’t hard to understand who these two people are. One’s a liberal. That’s all you need to know about Barack Obama. Don’t doubt me on this, folks.