RUSH: I just have one more thing to say about models. It’s undeniably true, and it’s one of the things that frustrates me about them. The doomsayers always win. Do you realize this? The doomsayers always win in a psychological sense. “What do you mean, Rush?” Well, let me explain it to you. I’m glad you asked.
If it’s bad — if it is as bad as they say — they will say, “I warned you. I told you it was going to be 100,000 dead, 200,000 dead. I told you!” If it isn’t as bad as they say, if it doesn’t end up being as bad as they predict, they then say, “It’s only because we warned you to do what was necessary to avoid the threat.”
They are never wrong.
The doomsayers are never wrong; they always win. They’ve got an answer for everything. The realists, like me… I’m the mayor of Realville. I am Mr. Literal. This program is Realville. I am the mayor, governor, president, whatever. I’m an optimist. I can’t help it. I have the optimist gene. We never win up against the doomsayers.
If the realists and the optimists are wrong, then what are we?
We are uncaring murderers or worse.
We are people with no compassion if we are wrong when we say, “It ain’t gonna be that bad, folks. Get a grip!” If the realists and optimists like me are right, we still endangered lives with the recklessness of our prediction, and were saved only by those who knew their data was false and scared them into acting…
If I were to come along and say… This is a HYPOTHETICAL capital H, capital Y, capital everything, HYPOTHETICAL. If I were to say today, “This shutdown is not necessary…” I am not saying it, but if I were… I’m giving you a HYPOTHETICAL example. If I were to tell you that I don’t think anything we’re doing here is as drastically necessary…?
If that turned out to be right, the doomsayers would still say that I was reckless and that I endangered lives and that lives were saved only by the doomsayers who warned everybody not to listen to the optimists, and that’s why modelers… I don’t care whether it’s health models, whether it’s climate models, economic models. They always play the doom card.
They always play the worst-case-scenario card, and they never lose. The people who lose are those who’ve had their livelihoods ruined because of the doomsayers. But, boy, you contradict the doomsayers and say, “I don’t think it’s this bad. I don’t think a hundred thousand, 200,000 people are gonna die.”
(angrily) “Who are you to dispute Dr. Fauci? Who are you! What do you mean?” “Well, I’m an eternal optimist, and I just don’t believe…” “Well, that’s recklessly…” So, you can’t say it. The optimist and the realist have to shut up, ceding the argument to the doomsayers, and that’s where we are here, and that’s what I don’t like about this.
The doomsayers are ruling the roost, and who’s to say that they’re right? They don’t know! All they’ve got are their computer models and their media-biased headlines to scare the hell out of everybody. They could be right, but what if they’re wrong? Well, that’s the thing. They never are.
They will get credit for having warned everybody in advance. The fact that the economy’s been shellacked and destroyed? “Ah, an insignificant byproduct to the saving of lives.”